BUILT 12:51 · 25 Jul · GOING AT BUILD: Standard to Slow
THE RECORD · LAST 30 DAYSboth orders below are marked against the actual results every night — how often each one’s top pick won, and how often the winner came from its projected top 3full record →
DATA ORDERtop pick won 29.3%winner in its top 3 60.6%297 settled raceslatest day: won 9/32 · top-3 19/32
FORENSIC READtop pick won 28.6%winner in its top 3 58.9%224 settled races(the Data Order on those same races: 28.1% · 58%)
THE RECORD IN RACES LIKE THISthe same nightly-settled record, kept only to past races sharing this race’s profile
Data Order
Forensic Read
races like this one
settled
won
top-3
won
top-3
Class 6
58
25.9%
51.7%
19%
46.6%
miles (7-9f)
49
22.4%
49%
22.4%
42.9%
non-handicaps
65
35.4%
55.4%
35.4%
63.1%
The ReadCOMPOSED FROM THE MEASURES BELOW
Nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front. Winners here typically raced recently (67% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (87% from the first three favourites); the typical winner also sits around 4th at halfway before quickening late, having spent about 49% of its energy before the final two furlongs. On the measured reads, LANGTON WOLD (IRE) leads on 57.7, 0.7pts clear of SASSY GLORY (IRE) — one of the two strongest finishers here. The case against the top pick: a yard out of form. The shape danger is TWILIGHT DAWN — the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it. The market sees it differently, making SASSY GLORY (IRE) the 18% favourite — a horse our figures rate 2nd.
MACHINE-COMPOSED FROM THE MEASURED READS BELOW · THE ORDER IS MEASURED, NOT TIPPED · THE MARKET DECIDES VALUE
The Data OrderMEASURED SPINE · THE FIGURE LEADS · 1 · 2 · 3
1ST · DATA ORDERDRAW 6
LANGTON WOLD (IRE)
OR · Ben Robinson / Brian Ellison
MARKET drifting 10 → 13.5 · the market rates it a 7% chance
57.7FORMLAB FIGURE · #1 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−The top rating in this field (57.7)Met trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
2ND · DATA ORDERDRAW 7
SASSY GLORY (IRE)
OR · Rhys Elliott / Mark Walford
MARKET 5.6 · the market rates it a 18% chance
57.0FORMLAB FIGURE · #2 OF FIELD
Yard suits today’s conditions · 6+ / 0−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (57.0)Proven over the trip (8 tries, beats market expectation at 3.16)Historically underestimated by the market
3RD · DATA ORDERDRAW 1
FILEY BEACH (IRE)
OR · Billy Loughnane / Ruth Carr
MARKET drifting 4 → 6.4 · the market rates it a 16% chance
56.7FORMLAB FIGURE · #3 OF FIELD
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (56.7)Historically underestimated by the marketRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
The Forensic ReadALL THE REPORT’S READS, COUNTED · CONTEXT ONLY
1SASSY GLORY (IRE)net +9figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, quickest early type, sharp from the stalls, proven at trip, yard positive in today’s setup − burns early and empties
2LANGTON WOLD (IRE)net +6figure top-2, race-fit (ran <=45d), top-2 late speed today, energy in the winning band, runs the dominant winning style here, yard positive in today’s setup, fits the winner profile on recency − yard cold
3FILEY BEACH (IRE)net +6race-fit (ran <=45d), form (top-3 LTO or recent win), market top-3, sharp from the stalls, runs the dominant winning style here, yard positive in today’s setup, fits the winner profile on recency − burns early and empties
EVERY COUNT IS A NAMED READ SHOWN IN THIS REPORT · FIGURE BREAKS TIES · THIS ORDER IS CONTEXT — THE DATA ORDER REMAINS THE MEASURED SPINE · BOTH ORDERS ARE SETTLED NIGHTLY IN THE RECORD
THE CASE AGAINST THE TOP PICK graded 36% · n=119
LANGTON WOLD (IRE) carries a yard out of form. SASSY GLORY (IRE) is the one to beat it — an edge LANGTON WOLD (IRE) lacks: the quickest away of the early types.
Balance, not doubt for its own sake — every pick has a case against; a reader should see ours.
Worth A Second Look graded 30% · n=195
These horses rank lower on raw ability figures — but today's race fits a pattern their stable has repeatedly won in. In plain terms, why each deserves another look before you dismiss it.
CHARCON FIGURE #11
Ben Haslam's runners in Class 6-7 company win 22.8% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons. Ben Haslam's runners kept to the same class win 18.7% across all tracks and beat market expectation in both seasons.
Race ShapePACE × FINISH
contested early pace likely (6 confirmed early types). Descriptive context — the shape never selects.
What this course & distance favours
Won by prominent racers 32% · front-runners 28% (185 past C&D winners · won up with the pace). Stiff, uphill finish — a true stamina test. Winners’ energy signature: 49.1% spent early (band 48.18–49.94%, 296 measured winners, and the typical winner sits ~4 at halfway, 0.26s off the lead). graded 42% · n=389Today 6 confirmed early types will contest the lead — at a track that rewards prominent racing a hot pace can compromise the pure front-runners, handing it to a prominent horse that sustains or a well-drawn closer.
WHAT WINS THIS RACE graded 81% · n=89
15 similar races at NEWCASTLE, 6.1-8.1f, all-aged non-handicaps, Class 5-7, May-Sep, 2023-2025 (class band widened for sample)
Winners here typically raced recently (67% within 45 days) and were prominent in the betting (87% from the first three favourites). 33% won last time out, 0% were placed 2nd-3rd.
Age
67% 3yo
20% 4yo
7% 6yo+
Last ran
53% 15-45d
20% first run
13% within 14d
Market
47% favourite
27% 2nd favourite
13% 4th+ in the market
LTO form
47% unplaced last time
33% won last time
20% first run
The shape of past winners here · context only, never picks the horse.
Where the pace is drawn · 13 runners · stalls 1–14
1234567891011121314
Stall number over each runner’s usual early position (amber = front/prominent, blue = mid/held-up, grey = no read; a dashed stall is vacant). Hover a stall for the runner. The early pace is spread across the draw (stalls 1–14).
RunnerEarly%E earlyLate speed · FSPSetup
ANGEL OF ENGLANDFRONT51.5%97.0just behind the quickest early pair — presses, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f · sharp from the stalls
FILEY BEACH (IRE)PROMINENT50.4%98.7just behind the quickest early pair — presses, and spends more than winners here do — but holds one pace late · sharp from the stalls
I CAN BOOGYMID50.8%97.2held up without the late gear (9th of 13 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
LANGTON WOLD (IRE)MID49.9%101.0the strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
SASSY GLORY (IRE)FRONT51.4%98.2the quickest of today's early types, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f · sharp from the stalls
TIMEBARPROMINENT50.4%97.4concedes ~1.7L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f
TRAIS FLUORSHELD-UP50.4%98.7one-paced late — 5th of 13 on late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
BELLING THE CATMID50.4%98.5held up without the late gear (6th of 13 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
CHARCONHELD-UP50.3%98.9the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
GO TEEJAYPROMINENT52.3%96.7concedes ~2.5L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f
LE PUYPROMINENT51.9%95.6concedes ~1.6L early to the quickest — a presser, not the leader, and spends more than winners here do — but empties in the final 2f
THE FLOORS MUNKYMID52.2%93.5held up without the late gear (13th of 13 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front
TWILIGHT DAWNHELD-UP49.6%100.8the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it
The early fight · measured
Who actually gets the front: each confirmed early type’s speed over the opening 2f of its own recent races, compared with the horses it faced that day — plus how sharply it leaves the stalls.
SASSY GLORY (IRE)FRONTtypically ~2.7 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
FILEY BEACH (IRE)PROMINENTtypically ~2.2 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
ANGEL OF ENGLANDFRONTtypically ~1.5 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · breaks with the very quickest
LE PUYPROMINENTtypically ~1.1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.17s off the field’s best
TIMEBARPROMINENTtypically ~1 lengths quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · a beat slow from the stalls (0.21s off the best)
GO TEEJAYPROMINENTa shade quicker through the opening 2f than the rivals it has met · fair break, 0.13s off the field’s best
nothing separates the early types on measured speed — expect a fight for the front · context only — the shape never selects.
The Field · Forensic ReadsFIGURE ORDER
#1LANGTON WOLD (IRE)MID
DRAW 6 · OR · Ben Robinson / Brian Ellison
MARKET drifting 10 → 13.5 · the market rates it a 7% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 5−
57.7FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
Top on the figures, 0.7pts clear of the next, one of the two strongest finishers here; a yard out of form.
FormLab Figure
57.7 · ranked #1 here · career best 67
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 4 tries
Days since last run
29
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Midfield · finishing speed 101.02% (holds late)
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Timed runs 2024-05-14 to 2026-06-26. · 1 run(s) have no recorded top speed; 2 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has metgraded 56% · n=765
Read through a common rival
vs SASSY GLORY (IRE) (read through INSPIRING SPEECHES, THE PUG) ≈ -3.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · unrated (no official mark) · thin Timeform history (1 figure)
The top rating in this field (57.7)Only 4 runs at this distanceStable cold this week — 0 wins from 10 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“prominent, led 2f out, headed over 1f out, no extra”
#2SASSY GLORY (IRE)FRONT
DRAW 7 · OR · 9-9 · −5lb claim = 9-4 carried · Rhys Elliott / Mark Walford
MARKET 5.6 · the market rates it a 18% chance
Yard suits today’s conditions · 6+ / 0−
57.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
2nd on the figures, 0.7pts off the top, the quickest away of the early types; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
57.0 · ranked #2 here · career best 57
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 47
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 8 tries · beats market expectation (3.16)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 17 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Mark Walford · 415 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.7 on the exchange
Signature angle: switching jockey after a defeat
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Newcastle1/303.3%0.723/1127.3%4.09
On the all-weather2/583.4%0.753/1816.7%3.02
In fields of 12-155/855.9%0.994/2814.3%1.85
Coming back after 15 to 45 days11/1358.1%0.928/5414.8%1.73
In Class 6-7 company15/12412.1%1.165/3912.8%1.54
Over 7-8f trips8/1375.8%0.84/449.1%1.22
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 60 at/around today's trip, clears the ~57.0 demand
The rider
Rhys Elliott · last 14 days: 1/25· at Newcastle: A/E 0.66 (n141)· with this yard: A/E 1.16 (n58)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's fieldgraded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields9th of 13
-0.14 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph2nd of 13
+0.01s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed7th of 13
98.2%
One-paced late
Stride length9th of 13
7.23 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
25 Jun 26Newcastle1mSlow61st4750True39.4 +0.0094.2—
16 Jun 26Beverley1m1f207yGood62nd4748.5True38.4 -0.3398.4-0.08
11 May 26Catterick Bridge1m4f13yGood69th4949True38.4 +0.21102.0+0.00
Timed runs 2026-03-28 to 2026-06-25. · 2 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has metgraded 56% · n=765
25 Jun 26 · 1m · Slow — finished 1st vs 7th, 10.75L ahead · OR 47 v 50 · race median 50
I CAN BOOGY · 1 meeting≈ 1.2L ahead on today's terms · confirms
25 Jun 26 · 1m · Slow — finished 1st vs 3rd, 1.2L ahead · OR 47 v 46 · race median 50
THIN [single meeting dominates the net] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 2 rival(s) met (+5.0L adj, 3 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs LANGTON WOLD (IRE) (read through INSPIRING SPEECHES, THE PUG) ≈ +3.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs ANGEL OF ENGLAND (read through LITTLE TED, OSELTON, NO KNEE NEVER) ≈ +3.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs FILEY BEACH (IRE) (read through CABLE BEACH, OSELTON, ONE MORE BOTTLE, JESMOND DAWN) ≈ +1.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · unrated (no official mark)
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #2 in this field (57.0)Proven over the trip (8 tries, beats market expectation at 3.16)Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (2 from 6 here)Runs Front — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“led, ridden under 2f out, joined final 100 yds, edged ahead again close home, game”
#3FILEY BEACH (IRE)PROMINENT
DRAW 1 · OR · Billy Loughnane / Ruth Carr
MARKET drifting 4 → 6.4 · the market rates it a 16% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 1+ / 4−
56.7FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
3rd on the figures, 1pts off the top, prominent in the betting; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
56.7 · ranked #3 here · career best 65
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 54
Record at today's distance
4 wins from 22 tries · beats market expectation (1.08)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 16 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ruth Carr · 1266 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.7 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At this time of year (Q3)37/35310.5%1.15/3315.2%1.54
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Newcastle16/14710.9%1.23/496.1%0.65
Over 7-8f trips50/45511.0%1.1811/1527.2%0.68
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦38/4638.2%0.9511/1537.2%0.74
In fields of 12-1521/2458.6%1.144/755.3%0.74
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 68 at/around today's trip, clears the ~57.0 demand
The rider
Billy Loughnane · last 14 days: 17/57· at Newcastle: A/E 1 (n205)· with this yard: A/E 0.83 (n14)· notable booking — a top rider for a yard he seldom rides for
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's fieldgraded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields3rd of 13
+0.08 mph
About the level of its fields · 40.3 raw
Break · 0-20mph3rd of 13
+0.04s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed4th of 13
98.7%
One-paced late
Stride length6th of 13
7.33 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-04-10 to 2026-07-08. · finishing speed for 2 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has metgraded 56% · n=765
ANGEL OF ENGLAND · 1 meeting≈ 28.7L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
10 Apr 26 · 7f · Gd/Sft — finished 8th vs 14th, 28.7L ahead · OR 55 v 60 · race median 59
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (+28.7L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs THE FLOORS MUNKY (read through DOLLY'S DELIGHT, INDY'S ANGEL, GOLDEN PROSPERITY) ≈ +6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs I CAN BOOGY (read through CABLE BEACH, OSELTON, RING OF GOLD, LANGHOLM) ≈ -3.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs SASSY GLORY (IRE) (read through CABLE BEACH, OSELTON, ONE MORE BOTTLE, JESMOND DAWN) ≈ -1.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs TRAIS FLUORS (read through CABLE BEACH, ONE MORE BOTTLE, OPERATION GIMCRACK, GOOD KARMA) ≈ -0.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · unrated (no official mark)
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRated #3 in this field (56.7)BOOKING UPGRADE — 12m top-1 jockey booked, only 1 ride(s) for this yard in 12m, after non-elite riders on the horse: an intent read (context only,…Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“always behind”
#4ANGEL OF ENGLANDFRONT
DRAW 4 · OR · David Nolan / Alan Brown
MARKET 6.8 · the market rates it a 15% chance
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−
56.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
4th on the figures, 1.7pts off the top, sharp from the stalls; a yard out of form.
FormLab Figure
56.0 · ranked #4 here · career best 80
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
1 win from 25 tries · below market expectation (0.38)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 14 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Alan Brown · 390 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 5.9 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At Newcastle8/1176.8%0.720/200.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)6/837.2%0.990/140.0%0.0
In fields of 12-153/694.3%0.710/220.0%0.0
In Class 6-7 company8/1395.8%0.662/523.8%0.72
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 80 at/around today's trip, clears the ~57.0 demand
The rider
David Nolan · last 14 days: 0/9· at Newcastle: A/E 1.01 (n279)· with this yard: A/E 0.75 (n18)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's fieldgraded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields8th of 13
-0.10 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.4 raw
Break · 0-20mph1st of 13
-0.03s
Quicker away than the field · fast away 3 of 4
Finish · closing speed10th of 13
97.0%
One-paced late
Stride length4th of 13
7.41 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
26 Jun 26Newcastle6fSlow63rd5148Fast early41.5 -0.1796.5—
15 Jun 26Wetherby5f110yGd/Frm66th5147True40.6 -0.5299.5-0.20
28 May 26Ripon6fGood62nd5153True42.1 +0.1196.0—
16 May 26Thirsk6fGood69th5454Fast early41.6 +0.1191.0+0.00
Timed runs 2026-04-10 to 2026-06-26. · 2 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest.· finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has metgraded 56% · n=765
10 Apr 26 · 7f · Gd/Sft — finished 14th vs 8th, 28.7L behind · OR 60 v 55 · race median 59
THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 2 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 2 rival(s) met (-21.4L adj, 2 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs THE FLOORS MUNKY (read through MISTER SKY BLUE, GOLDEN PROSPERITY, STORMY PEARL, BARMYBLADE) ≈ +6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs BELLING THE CAT (read through LITTLE BECK ANNIE, STORMY PEARL) ≈ +4.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs SASSY GLORY (IRE) (read through LITTLE TED, OSELTON, NO KNEE NEVER) ≈ -3.4L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs I CAN BOOGY (read through FORT AUGUSTUS, LITTLE TED, OSELTON, SUMMER RAIN) ≈ -1.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · unrated (no official mark)
Proven at this level — a Class 2 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Front — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“close up, led briefly over 1f out, no extra final ½f”
#5TIMEBARPROMINENT
DRAW 9 · OR · Jack Gilligan / Roy Bowring
MARKET 13.5 · the market rates it a 7% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 3−
49.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
5th on the figures, 8.7pts off the top, in form; tends to burn early and empty out.
Career sheet · last 18 months · 10 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Roy Bowring · 161 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 8.4 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 12-154/2913.8%1.741/520.0%2.23
In Class 6-7 company9/6214.5%1.312/1513.3%1.26
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On the all-weather11/7514.7%1.130/100.0%0.0
Coming back after 15 to 45 days6/5910.2%0.991/137.7%0.74
Over 7-8f trips1/392.6%0.291/119.1%0.81
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newcastle (small sample)0/20.0%0.0—
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)3/2810.7%1.070/10.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 61 at/around today's trip, clears the ~57.0 demand
The rider
Jack Gilligan · last 14 days: 2/11· at Newcastle: A/E 0 (n3)· with this yard: A/E 2.63 (n3)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's fieldgraded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields7th of 13
-0.01 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph8th of 13
+0.21s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed8th of 13
97.4%
One-paced late
Stride length10th of 13
7.23 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
11 Jun 26Nottingham6f18ySoft62nd——True39.6 +0.0197.1+0.01
19 May 26Nottingham5fGd/Sft68th4649True40.8 +0.5195.7+0.42
12 Jun 25Nottingham6f18yGd/Frm62nd——True40.5 +0.0698.6+0.40
Timed runs 2025-03-12 to 2026-06-11. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has metgraded 56% · n=765
Read through a common rival
vs TRAIS FLUORS (read through CONQUEST OF POWER, HERETIC, JUMP THE GUN) ≈ +2.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs I CAN BOOGY (read through AUTUMN ANGEL, TURBO COMMAND, HERETIC, MICKEY MONGOOSE) ≈ -1.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs ANGEL OF ENGLAND (read through PINJARRA, JUMP THE GUN, ELDEYAAR, BARMYBLADE) ≈ +0.9L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · unrated (no official mark)
Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Prominent — the dominant winning style at this course & distance, and his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“prominent, led briefly approaching final 1f, kept on”
#6TWILIGHT DAWNHELD-UP
DRAW 5 · OR · Andrew Elliott / Simon Whitaker
MARKET drifting 18 → 26 · the market rates it a 4% chance
Yard mixed · 3+ / 3−
47FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
6th on the figures, 10.7pts off the top, one of the two strongest finishers here; the 2nd-strongest late speed in this field, races handy on energy — profits if the early types overdo it.
FormLab Figure
47 · ranked #6 here · career best 53
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 8 tries
Days since last run
36
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 100.82% (holds late)
Course scale · class context
steps up 18 places on the course scale (REDCAR 31st → NEWCASTLE 13th) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 7 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Simon Whitaker · 180 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 12.3 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 12-153/506.0%0.971/166.2%2.64
Over 7-8f trips5/667.6%1.12/248.3%1.7
In Class 6-7 company6/1125.4%0.752/277.4%1.38
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days4/785.1%0.840/120.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)4/626.5%0.90/40.0%0.0
On the all-weather1/352.9%0.450/60.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At Newcastle (small sample)1/234.3%0.50/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 53 is below the ~57.0 the race demands
The rider
Andrew Elliott · last 14 days: 0/2· at Newcastle: A/E 0.7 (n28)· with this yard: A/E 0 (n8)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's fieldgraded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields4th of 13
+0.06 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.6 raw
Break · 0-20mph10th of 13
+0.22s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed2nd of 13
100.8%
Holds its gallop to the line
Stride length7th of 13
7.29 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
19 Jun 26Redcar7fGood63rd5056.5True41.1 +0.2996.7+0.20
18 May 26Redcar7fGd/Frm63rd5055True39.8 +0.29101.3+0.15
Timed runs 2025-08-08 to 2026-06-19. · 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has metgraded 56% · n=765
Read through a common rival
vs CHARCON (read through LOPE HARSWELL, POPTY PING, TRULY SPECIAL, REALISTIC DREAM) ≈ +6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs EVA THE DEEVA (read through HARSWELL RIVER, ITSZABOY, TEN SIXTY SIX) ≈ +5.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs GO TEEJAY (read through TRUCIAL PEARL, TWILIGHT SERENADE, MAXIMUM VELOCITY, HEY HAVANA) ≈ +4.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs THE FLOORS MUNKY (read through ATHENIAN SPIRIT, TORBADOS, MERESIDE PRINCESS, THANKFULLY SIMMY) ≈ +3.8L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · unrated (no official mark)
Historically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Held-Up — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“mid-field, ridden from 3f out, plugged on”
#7BELLING THE CATMID
DRAW 10 · OR · Billy Garritty / Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood
MARKET drifting 14 → 24 · the market rates it a 4% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 5+ / 1−
43.7FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
8th on the figures, 14pts off the top, a yard in form; held up without the late gear (6th of 13 on late speed), yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front.
Career sheet · last 18 months · 8 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · 304 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Newcastle3/358.6%0.682/2010.0%3.23
On the all-weather3/595.1%0.474/3411.8%2.45
In fields of 12-156/5311.3%1.663/1816.7%2.15
At this time of year (Q3)10/8012.5%1.553/1618.8%2.04
Coming back after 15 to 45 days9/8410.7%1.25/4411.4%1.53
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company10/9210.9%0.953/535.7%0.74
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 55 is below the ~57.0 the race demands
The rider
Billy Garritty · last 14 days: 1/18· at Newcastle: A/E 1.16 (n216)· with this yard: A/E 0 (n2)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's fieldgraded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields1st of 13
+0.18 mph
Faster than the fields it has met · 40.9 raw
Break · 0-20mph9th of 13
+0.22s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed6th of 13
98.5%
One-paced late
Stride length12th of 13
7.16 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
15 Jun 26Carlisle5f182yGood67th4756.5True40.7 +0.0795.9+0.24
21 May 26Catterick Bridge7fGood64th4850—41.3 +0.2895.2+0.17
Timed runs 2026-02-24 to 2026-06-15. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has metgraded 56% · n=765
Read through a common rival
vs THE FLOORS MUNKY (read through GANTHORPE, DREAM FOREVER, AUSPICIOUS, LONG SHOT) ≈ +5.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs ANGEL OF ENGLAND (read through LITTLE BECK ANNIE, STORMY PEARL) ≈ -4.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs CHARCON (read through RUNNINMAN, GANTHORPE, EVELYN'S GARDEN, AUSPICIOUS) ≈ +3.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs TWILIGHT DAWN (read through DREAM FOREVER, TRUCIAL PEARL, ANTIQUE BLUE, LONG SHOT) ≈ +2.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · unrated (no official mark)
Recent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the priceRuns Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“bumped start, off pace, never dangerous”
#8TRAIS FLUORSHELD-UP
DRAW 2 · OR · Paddy Bradley / Linda Perratt
MARKET 16.5 · the market rates it a 6% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 3−
43.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
9th on the figures, 14.7pts off the top, among the two fastest on speed against its past fields; habitually slow from the stalls.
FormLab Figure
43.0 · ranked #9 here · career best 76
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 55
Record at today's distance
2 wins from 41 tries · below market expectation (0.75)
Days since last run
20
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 98.67% (one-paced late)
Course scale · class context
steps up 5 places on the course scale (AYR 18th → NEWCASTLE 13th) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 23 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Linda Perratt · 602 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.4 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
Coming back after 15 to 45 days15/2067.3%1.035/588.6%1.5
On the all-weather22/2359.4%0.987/739.6%1.31
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)9/1565.8%0.940/200.0%0.0
In Class 6-7 company19/2717.0%0.92/702.9%0.52
In fields of 12-158/1077.5%1.281/263.8%0.7
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 76 at/around today's trip, clears the ~57.0 demand
The rider
Paddy Bradley · last 14 days: 2/15· at Newcastle: A/E 0.65 (n13)· with this yard: A/E 0 (n6)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's fieldgraded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields2nd of 13
+0.12 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.5 raw
Break · 0-20mph13th of 13
+0.49s
Slow away in 4 of 5 — habitual, so the market already knows
Finish · closing speed5th of 13
98.7%
One-paced late
Stride length3rd of 13
7.45 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
5 Jul 26Ayr1mGood66th——True40.0 +0.32100.2+0.44
25 Jun 26Newcastle1mSlow67th5050True39.4 -0.0192.3—
2 Jun 26Newcastle1mStd611th5151True37.6 -0.7098.1+0.44
5 May 26Ayr7f50yGd/Frm65th5257True40.9 +0.68105.3+0.68
Timed runs 2026-04-13 to 2026-07-05. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has metgraded 56% · n=765
ANGEL OF ENGLAND · 2 meetings≈ 16.5L ahead on today's terms · CONFIRMS strongly
10 Jan 26 · 7f14y · Std — finished 4th vs 10th, 16.5L ahead · OR 58 v 61 · race median 61
25 Jun 26 · 1m · Slow — finished 7th vs 1st, 10.75L behind · OR 50 v 47 · race median 50
I CAN BOOGY · 1 meeting≈ 9.6L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
25 Jun 26 · 1m · Slow — finished 7th vs 3rd, 9.55L behind · OR 50 v 46 · race median 50
THIN [single meeting dominates the net] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 3 rival(s) met (-3.5L adj, 4 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs TIMEBAR (read through CONQUEST OF POWER, HERETIC, JUMP THE GUN) ≈ -2.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs FILEY BEACH (IRE) (read through CABLE BEACH, ONE MORE BOTTLE, OPERATION GIMCRACK, GOOD KARMA) ≈ +0.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · unrated (no official mark)
Proven at this level — a Class 4 winner, racing in Class 6 todayRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (2 from 21 here)
LTO comment
“slowly away, never better than mid-field”
#9I CAN BOOGYMID
DRAW 13 · OR · 9-9 · −3lb claim = 9-6 carried · Alex Jary / Nigel Tinkler
MARKET 6 · the market rates it a 16% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 3−
38.3FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
10th on the figures, 19.4pts off the top, proven at the trip; tends to burn early and empty out.
FormLab Figure
38.3 · ranked #10 here · career best 58
Official mark (OR)
unrated · last won off 51
Record at today's distance
3 wins from 23 tries · beats market expectation (1.43)
Career sheet · last 18 months · 20 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Nigel Tinkler · 930 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.8 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
In fields of 12-1516/1828.8%1.464/577.0%1.31
In Class 6-7 company ✦32/27911.5%1.1710/1049.6%1.27
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
On the all-weather24/20411.8%1.473/555.5%0.67
At Newcastle18/15311.8%1.553/446.8%0.82
At this time of year (Q3)24/3008.0%0.94/439.3%0.83
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 58 at/around today's trip, clears the ~57.0 demand
The rider
Alex Jary · last 14 days: 1/17· at Newcastle: A/E 1.05 (n182)· with this yard: A/E 1.14 (n350)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's fieldgraded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields5th of 13
+0.04 mph
About the level of its fields · 39.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph12th of 13
+0.33s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed9th of 13
97.2%
One-paced late
Stride length8th of 13
7.24 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-03-19 to 2026-07-16. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has metgraded 56% · n=765
25 Jun 26 · 1m · Slow — finished 3rd vs 7th, 9.55L ahead · OR 46 v 50 · race median 50
THIN [n=2 meeting(s), 2 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — CONFIRMS strongly vs 2 rival(s) met (+4.2L adj, 2 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs THE FLOORS MUNKY (read through INDY'S ANGEL, MISTER SKY BLUE, DOLLY'S DELIGHT) ≈ +6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs FILEY BEACH (IRE) (read through CABLE BEACH, OSELTON, RING OF GOLD, LANGHOLM) ≈ +3.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs TIMEBAR (read through AUTUMN ANGEL, TURBO COMMAND, HERETIC, MICKEY MONGOOSE) ≈ +1.7L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs ANGEL OF ENGLAND (read through FORT AUGUSTUS, LITTLE TED, OSELTON, SUMMER RAIN) ≈ +1.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · unrated (no official mark)
Proven at this level — a Class 6 winner, racing in Class 6 todayProven over the trip (23 tries, beats market expectation at 1.43)Stable cold this week — 1 wins from 15 runsRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionMet trouble in running recently — better than the bare resultRace-fit — ran 9 days agoHistorically underestimated by the marketA course winner (1 from 7 here)Runs Mid — a winning style at this course & distance; his sectional profile fits
LTO comment
“off pace, little impression”
#10CHARCONHELD-UPFORMLAB WATCH
DRAW 11 · OR · Aiden Brookes / Ben Haslam
MARKET 65 · the market rates it a 2% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 4+ / 2−
35FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
11th on the figures, 22.7pts off the top, flagged on our watch list; the 3rd-strongest late speed in this field, yet works hard early for a closer — needs them to stop in front.
FormLab Figure
35 · ranked #11 here · career best 45
Official mark (OR)
unrated · no win on record
Record at today's distance
0 wins from 7 tries
Days since last run
35
Sectional clock
No timed runs on record
Run style & finish
Held up · finishing speed 98.88% (one-paced late)
Course scale · class context
steps up 18 places on the course scale (REDCAR 31st → NEWCASTLE 13th) — a real rise in class regardless of the race grade
Headgear
First-time cheekpieces
Recent form · last 5 runs, most recent first · ratings are FormLab figures
Career sheet · last 18 months · 6 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Ben Haslam · 400 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.1 on the exchange
Signature angle: at this time of year (Q1), on the all-weather, off a judgement-rated last figure, off a TFR-RISING figure trend, without a sectional tell last time, in fields of 8-11
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Newcastle15/9316.1%1.5311/4126.8%2.29
On the all-weather ✦15/9915.2%1.5113/5026.0%2.06
In Class 6-7 company ✦16/9716.5%1.4313/5722.8%1.5
Coming back after 15 to 45 days ✦15/13710.9%1.019/7611.8%1.24
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 7-8f trips11/9012.2%1.111/372.7%0.55
In fields of 12-157/6011.7%1.371/254.0%0.63
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 45 is below the ~57.0 the race demands
The rider
Aiden Brookes · last 14 days: 1/13· at Newcastle: A/E 0.9 (n181)· with this yard: A/E 0 (n10)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's fieldgraded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields13th of 13
-0.43 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.1 raw
Break · 0-20mph11th of 13
+0.29s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed3rd of 13
98.9%
One-paced late
Stride length13th of 13
7.11 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
20 Jun 26Redcar5f217yGood69th4854True40.7 -1.2899.0+0.77
8 Jun 26Carlisle5f182yGd/Sft66th4949True37.9 +0.14100.2+0.33
14 Feb 26Newcastle1mSlow67th5155True38.5 +0.1397.1+0.64
20 Dec 25Newcastle7f14yStd/Slow65th5252True38.7 -0.0698.0+0.00
17 Nov 25Newcastle6fSlow44th——True38.7 -0.66100.5+0.00
9 Oct 25Newcastle7f14ySlow58th——True37.2 -0.8698.5+0.00
Last run, sector by sector · gap to the leader (s) · sector pace
Timed runs 2025-10-09 to 2026-06-20. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has metgraded 56% · n=765
Read through a common rival
vs TWILIGHT DAWN (read through LOPE HARSWELL, POPTY PING, TRULY SPECIAL, REALISTIC DREAM) ≈ -6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs BELLING THE CAT (read through RUNNINMAN, GANTHORPE, EVELYN'S GARDEN, AUSPICIOUS) ≈ -3.3L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs THE FLOORS MUNKY (read through AUSPICIOUS, GANTHORPE, HARES BREDTH) ≈ +2.5L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · unrated (no official mark)
Historically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“outpaced, always behind”
#11LE PUYPROMINENT
DRAW 12 · OR · Darragh Keenan / Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
MARKET drifting 11.5 → 26 · the market rates it a 4% chance
Yard poor for today’s conditions · 0+ / 4−
32FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
12th on the figures, 25.7pts off the top, dropping in class; tends to burn early and empty out.
Career sheet · last 18 months · 2 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · 69 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 6.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
In Class 6-7 company1/244.2%0.550/70.0%0.0
At Newcastle0/80.0%0.00/80.0%0.0
Over 7-8f trips0/180.0%0.00/70.0%0.0
On the all-weather0/80.0%0.00/90.0%0.0
Too few runners to read reliably
At this time of year (Q3) (small sample)2/345.9%0.740/30.0%0.0
In fields of 12-15 (small sample)1/911.1%2.420/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 45 is below the ~57.0 the race demands
The rider
Darragh Keenan · last 14 days: 4/22· at Newcastle: A/E 1.15 (n41)· with this yard: A/E 0 (n1)
Sectional profile · last 3 timed runs · ranks are against today's fieldgraded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields10th of 13
-0.15 mph
About the level of its fields · 38.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph7th of 13
+0.17s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed12th of 13
95.6%
One-paced late
Stride length2nd of 13
7.49 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2025-09-30 to 2026-06-19. · finishing speed for 1 run(s) supplied by Timeform where Race IQ had none.· 1 of these were falsely run (slow early) — those bare results understate a closer and flatter whoever got an easy lead. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · unrated (no official mark) · never met today's rivals · thin Timeform history (2 figures)
ALL-WEATHER UNPROVEN — 0 AW runs; today is the AW. Figures are turf formDrops in class todayOnly 3 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina question
LTO comment
“led until after halfway, weakened over 1f out”
#12THE FLOORS MUNKYMID
DRAW 14 · OR · Andrew Mullen / Gary Rutherford
MARKET 320 · the market rates it a 0% chance
Yard mixed — leans against · 2+ / 3−
26.0FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
13th on the figures, 31.7pts off the top, runs the dominant winning style here; tends to burn early and empty out.
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Gary Rutherford · 97 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 4.0 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Newcastle2/229.1%0.741/1010.0%1.27
On the all-weather2/229.1%0.741/119.1%1.27
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
Over 7-8f trips3/3010.0%0.790/170.0%0.0
At this time of year (Q3)2/277.4%0.80/70.0%0.0
In Class 6-7 company4/517.8%0.81/273.7%0.55
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after within 7 days (small sample)1/119.1%0.510/20.0%0.0
In fields of 12-15 (small sample)0/100.0%0.00/30.0%0.0
Can it do what today needs? Capable — has run to 57 at/around today's trip, clears the ~57.0 demand
The rider
Andrew Mullen · last 14 days: 1/23· at Newcastle: A/E 0.98 (n361)
Sectional profile · last 6 timed runs · ranks are against today's fieldgraded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields11th of 13
-0.20 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 38.0 raw
Break · 0-20mph5th of 13
+0.11s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed13th of 13
93.5%
One-paced late
Stride length5th of 13
7.40 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
Timed runs 2026-03-21 to 2026-07-21. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has metgraded 56% · n=765
Read through a common rival
vs ANGEL OF ENGLAND (read through MISTER SKY BLUE, GOLDEN PROSPERITY, STORMY PEARL, BARMYBLADE) ≈ -6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs FILEY BEACH (IRE) (read through DOLLY'S DELIGHT, INDY'S ANGEL, GOLDEN PROSPERITY) ≈ -6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs I CAN BOOGY (read through INDY'S ANGEL, MISTER SKY BLUE, DOLLY'S DELIGHT) ≈ -6.0L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
vs BELLING THE CAT (read through GANTHORPE, DREAM FOREVER, AUSPICIOUS, LONG SHOT) ≈ -5.1L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · unrated (no official mark)
Race-fit — ran 4 days agoHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price
LTO comment
“prominent, dropped away from 3f out”
#13GO TEEJAYPROMINENT
DRAW 3 · OR · Sam James / Craig Lidster
MARKET drifting 18 → 75 · the market rates it a 1% chance
Yard mixed — leans for · 3+ / 2−
19.3FORMLAB FIGURE
BOTTOM LINE
14th on the figures, 38.4pts off the top, a yard that scores in today’s conditions; a yard out of form.
Career sheet · last 18 months · 4 rated runs · spacing is real time
Points are Timeform ratings for each run; the FormLab Figure is the stronger of the last run and the 3-run average of them. Hollow = earned 2f+ from today's trip. Shaded = the 6 runs behind the sectional reads.
Trainer form · today's exact conditions
Craig Lidster · 501 runs since 2024 · winners usually around 7.6 on the exchange
Condition today2024-25SRA/E2026SRA/E
Where this yard does well in today's conditions
At Newcastle9/6414.1%1.482/1315.4%2.61
On the all-weather13/11311.5%1.262/219.5%1.75
In fields of 12-156/847.1%1.012/277.4%1.46
Where the yard is weaker in these conditions
At this time of year (Q3)15/1609.4%0.960/180.0%0.0
Over 7-8f trips21/16512.7%1.332/385.3%0.71
Too few runners to read reliably
Coming back after 46 to 90 days (small sample)3/2213.6%1.891/333.3%3.19
Can it do what today needs? Below the level — career best 47 is below the ~57.0 the race demands
The rider
Sam James · last 14 days: 6/19· at Newcastle: A/E 0.69 (n207)· with this yard: A/E 1.34 (n123)
Sectional profile · last 5 timed runs · ranks are against today's fieldgraded 42% · n=3322
Speed · vs its fields12th of 13
-0.21 mph
Slower than the fields it has met · 39.7 raw
Break · 0-20mph6th of 13
+0.13s
Slower away than the field's best breaker
Finish · closing speed11th of 13
96.7%
One-paced late
Stride length11th of 13
7.21 m
Average stride per timed run
DateCourseTripGoingClassFinORField ORRace paceTop spd · adjFSP %BreakEnergy
18 May 26Redcar7fGd/Frm610th4655True40.2 +0.0193.8+0.00
2 May 26Doncaster7fGd/Frm66th4557True39.3 -0.18103.5—
Timed runs 2025-05-29 to 2026-05-18. · 1 have no 0-20mph split — Race IQ has yet to publish these; they fill on the next ingest. Sectional reads are context — they never pick the horse.
HEAD-TO-HEAD · today's rivals it has metgraded 56% · n=765
EVA THE DEEVA · 1 meeting≈ 11.8L behind on today's terms · REVERSES strongly
THIN [n=1 meeting(s), 1 opponent(s)] — context only, not a bet leg — REVERSES strongly vs 1 rival(s) met (-11.8L adj, 1 meeting(s))
Read through a common rival
vs TWILIGHT DAWN (read through TRUCIAL PEARL, TWILIGHT SERENADE, MAXIMUM VELOCITY, HEY HAVANA) ≈ -4.2L — CHAINED — context only, never a bet leg graded 54% · n=820
Head-to-head lines are context — conditions change, horses change; they never pick the horse.
Data gaps · unrated (no official mark)
Only 5 runs at this distanceRecent comments suggest he weakens late — a stamina questionHistorically over-bet by the market — take care with the price